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Wednesday, April 8, 2026
15 games on the slate · 8 high-edge games
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● 8 High
● 5 Medium
● 1 Low
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants
Aaron Nola vs Tyler Mahle · 2026-04-08T19:45Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 54°F, 12mph W (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (54°f)
Pick: San Francisco Giants +1.5
Model Estimate: 16.5% edge
Units: 0.5
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins
Framber Valdez vs Bailey Ober · 2026-04-08T23:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 36°F, 11mph S (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the away starter
Pick: Minnesota Twins +1.5
Model Estimate: 16.3% edge
Units: 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals
Michael McGreevy vs Miles Mikolas · 2026-04-08T20:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 40°F, 6mph N (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.8 points favors the away starter
Pick: Washington Nationals +1.5
Model Estimate: 14.6% edge
Units: 0.5
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
Bryan Woo vs MacKenzie Gore · 2026-04-08T18:35Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 13.4% edge in this matchup
Pick: Texas Rangers +1.5
Model Estimate: 13.4% edge
Units: 0.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays
Shohei Ohtani vs Dylan Cease · 2026-04-08T19:07Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds strong 13.0% edge in this matchup
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
Model Estimate: 13.0% edge
Units: 0.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins
Brady Singer vs Eury Perez · 2026-04-08T22:40Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.1 points favors the away starter
Pick: Cincinnati Reds +1.5
Model Estimate: 11.9% edge
Units: 0.5
Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies
Cristian Javier vs Michael Lorenzen · 2026-04-08T19:10Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 52°F, 5mph S (calm)
Model finds strong 11.6% edge in this matchup
Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5
Model Estimate: 11.6% edge
Units: 0.5
Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox
Shane Drohan vs Sonny Gray · 2026-04-08T17:35Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 31°F, 8mph NW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (31°f)
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
Model Estimate: 11.5% edge
Units: 0.5
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels
Grant Holmes vs Reid Detmers · 2026-04-08T20:07Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 62°F, 2mph SW (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.9% edge
Units: 0.25
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians
Cole Ragans vs Joey Cantillo · 2026-04-08T17:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 28°F, 4mph NE (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.6 points favors the home starter
Pick: Cleveland Guardians +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.3% edge
Units: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays
Colin Rea vs Joe Boyle · 2026-04-08T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Model finds lean 7.2% edge in this matchup
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
Model Estimate: 7.2% edge
Units: 0.25
San Diego Padres @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Michael King vs Mitch Keller · 2026-04-08T16:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 29°F, 3mph NE (calm)
Model finds lean 6.7% edge in this matchup
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
Model Estimate: 6.7% edge
Units: 0.25
Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox
Kyle Bradish vs Sean Burke · 2026-04-08T18:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 34°F, 10mph SE (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the home starter
Pick: OVER 7.5
Model Estimate: 5.9% edge
Units: 0.25
Athletics @ New York Yankees
Luis Severino vs Will Warren · 2026-04-08T23:05Z
LOW
SKIP
–
warning 31°F, 6mph N (calm)
Away traveled 2557mi
Pick: Athletics +1.5
Model Estimate: 4.2% edge
Units: 0.02
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 8 high-edge games across today's 15-game slate
- Strongest signal: PHI at SF with 16.5% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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